A “HERD mentality†to borrow money and invest it into property is increasing Australia’s vulnerability to a more severe downturn, global investment giant PIMCO says.
Comparing local borrowers to those in other OECD countries, PIMCO research found that Aussies are basing their decisions to invest on mortgage rates and house prices — not the broader health of the economy or their job security — fearing they will “miss out†on further price appreciation.
This mindset poses substantial risks for the economy because it encourages excess borrowing to pay down properties that may have been purchased at inflated prices not “linked to the productivity of the assetâ€, the study said.
It added that Aussie households appear to be “trigger happy†about debt, needing only six months of favourable changes in property prices and mortgage rates to start borrowing money again, compared with a year in the US.
“Households … are placing little weight on broader fundamentals like unemployment that may be more representative of future incomes or asset prices returns, increasing the likelihood of asset price bubbles,†the study says.
Originally published as ‘FOMO’ puts economy at risk