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Posted: 2015-05-18 02:16:00
Tony Abbott celebrated his poll results by running up Castle Hill in Townsville this morn

Tony Abbott celebrated his poll results by running up Castle Hill in Townsville this morning. Picture: Adam Armstrong. Source: News Corp Australia

A BUMPY Senate path for key legislation will test the Government’s relief today that opinion polls are giving relatively strong support to last Tuesday’s Budget.

There was strong endorsement for help to small business and families totalling $10 billion, according to findings in Newspoll in The Australian and in the Fairfax Ipsos survey.

But that will not guarantee a smooth passage for the Budget in the Senate, which is scheduled to sit for just eight days before the start of the long parliamentary winter break on June 26.

A deal with Labor on a renewable energy target today was a sign of positive action by Prime Minister Tony Abbott but other signs of lingering issues being resolved are scant.

Parts of the unpopular 2014 Budget are still in limbo and not abandoned. They include:

• Changes to higher education funding;

• Legislative approval for increased excise on petrol;

• A cut-off to Family Tax Benefit B when a child reaches age six;

• Increasing the age pension qualifying age to 70;

• A $5 increase to the cost of filling a prescription under the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme.

The Government will have to battle to get Senate approval for parts of this latest Budget, including:

• Banning “double dipping” of paid parental leave schemes;

• Denying stay-at-home mums benefits granted to working mothers;

• Changing asset tests for age pension;

• Cuts to health programs Labor calculates would save $1 billion but affect families;

• The freeze on Medicare rebates which doctors warn could soon add up to $8 to the cost of a GP visit;

• Challenges to the Budget’s projection of 3.5 per cent economic growth.

Today’s opinion poll findings were a modest endorsement of the Budget but were glowing testaments when compared to the aftermath of the 2014 statement. The findings looked good because the polling on last year’s Budget was so bad.

The Coalition has rejected Labor’s accusation the Budget was aimed at protecting the political stocks of the Government and the Prime Minister but that is the interpretation by many Coalition MPs today.

But not enough of an improvement to bring on an early election with Treasurer Joe Hockey and Social Services Minister Scott Morrison today ruling it out. Trade Minister Andrew Robb said it was not part of the Prime Minister’s instinct.

Labor maintained a two-party preferred lead in the latest Newspoll, and that report showed satisfaction in Tony Abbott had risen from 33 per cent in April to 39 per cent last weekend. However, 52 per cent of voters still were dissatisfied with his performance.

Ipsos found approval of Mr Abbott had risen from 34 per cent in April to 42 per cent, with 50 per cent disapproving.

Opposition Leader Bill Shorten’s Ipsos approval (42 per cent to 41 per cent) and disapproval (44 per cent to 45 per cent) ratings were effectively static.

In Newspoll, Mr Shorten’s satisfaction rating improved marginally from 33 per cent to 35 per cent, and his disapproval figures from 51 per cent to 46 per cent.

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