THE gunman holding hostages in Sydney’s Lindt cafe would be running out of gas and becoming psychologically overwhelmed at this point, the FBI’s former lead international kidnapping negotiator says.
Christopher Voss, a 24-year FBI veteran, says the 12-hour mark of a siege is an important mark for a kidnapping situation involving just one gunman.
Police have identified Sheik Man Haron Monis, a self-styled Islamic State preacher out on bail for accessory to murder, as the gunman who is holding 15 terrified hostages in the cafe.
“He’s going to be running out of gas before long,†Mr Voss told CNN on Monday.
“Usually in these types of sieges, a person by themselves, at about the 12-hour mark they become psychologically overwhelmed by trying to manage the entirety of this siege.â€
The siege is the top news story in the US, with President Barack Obama briefed on the situation by his top counterterrorism adviser, Lisa Monaco.
US authorities, including the New York Police Department, are monitoring the Sydney situation and are on alert for any copycat responses in US cities.
Australian law enforcement has received high praise for their handling of the siege.
Former White House security adviser, Fran Townsend, described the Australian intelligence community as very capable.
“This is a textbook operation for tactical unit, on scene commanders, negotiators,†retired Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives special agent hostage negotiator Jim Cavanaugh told MSNBC.
“This is the way they operate.
“From everything I have seen they are doing it according to the book.
“Australian police have great tactical units and negotiators so they know what to do and are doing the right things.â€