Jockey Hugh Bowman pats the head of Winx as they return to scale after winning the TAB Chipping Norton Stakes Race during the TAB Chipping Norton Stakes Day at Royal Randwick racecourse in Sydney, Saturday, Feb. 25, 2017. Their race win today is their 15th consecutive. (AAP Image/David Moir) NO ARCHIVING

Winx remains a dominant $1.15 favourite with TAB Fixed Odds for the $1 million George Ryder Stakes (1500m).

Since Valerius lined up as the $1.03 favourite (33/1-on) when he won the 1961 Chipping Norton Stakes, only two horses have started shorter than Winx’s Ryder odds and won in a Sydney major.

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They were the mighty Black Caviar who raced twice in Sydney in the 2011 and 2013 T.J. Smith Stakes, winning easily at odds of $1.14 both times.

And Winx herself was the $1.08 favourite when she romped away with the George Main Stakes last spring.

Despite Winx’s prohibitive odds, such is the mare’s immense popularity she holds more than 95% of all bets taken on the George Ryder Stakes including a massive bet of $67,000 at $1.15. There has also been wagers of $13,000 at $1.15, $9,000 at $1.15 on the great mare.

The punters are confident Winx will deliver again in the George Ryder.Source:AAP

In the Golden Slipper. Houtzen remains the $4.40 favourite after a $2000 each way bet at those odds. She Will Reign continues to drift and is now out to $6, while Frolic is the big market mover firming from $15 to $11.

Invader is another to firm in betting with his odds trimmed from $23 to $18 after a $8000/$6000 each way bet at $26/$2.75.

THE BARRIERS

The best winning barriers at Rosehill Gardens for the last three years.

(In order of most wins)

1100m: 1,5,4,3

1200m: 4,2,6,3

1500m: 6,2,1,8

1900m: 6,3,9,4

2000m: 5,1,4,3

TAB BIG BETS

Race 1: TAB Fixed Odds reports no bets or market movements of note.

Race 2: Samantha $4.60 unchanged including a $500 wager at $4.60, Raiment $3.60-$3.40.

Race 3: Tactical Advantage $4.60-$2.60 with a $1,000 bet at $2.80, Crafty Cop $13-$7.50-$7 with bets of $200/$100 e/w at $13/$3.82, $750 at $8.

Race 4: Our Ivanhowe $11-$9.50-$11 with a $550 bet at $11, The United States $6-$5-$4.80-$5 with bets of $300 at $6, $200 at $6, $1,000 at $5.50, $500 at $5 and $400 at $5, Stratum Star $11-$9.50.

Race 5: Winx $1.15 unchanged despite some huge bets including $67,000 at $1.15, $13,000 at $1.15, $9,000 at $1.15, $5,000 at $1.15, $4,000 at $1.15.

Race 6: Gingernuts $6 unchanged after a $700 bet at $6, Inference $3.60-$3.40-$3.20 with bets of $850 at $3.60, $500 at $3.60, $300 at $3.60, $500 at $3.60, $430 at $3.50, $300 at $3.50.

Race 7: Diamond Tathagata $61-$35, Invader $26-$23-$18 with bets of $8,000/$6,000 e/w at $26/$7.25, Catchy $7-$6-$5.50 with bets of $1,000 at $6 multiple times, $500 at $6 multiple times, Tulip $10-$9.50 after bets of $400 at $10, $500 at $9.50, She Will Reign $5-$5.50-$6 despite a wager of $1,000 at $5, Frolic $15-$13-$11 with bets of $400 at $14, $500 at $13, $310 at $13, $500 at $13, $400 at $13, $1,000 at $12, Houtzen $4.40 unchanged despite bets of $2,000 e/w at $4.40/$1.85.

Race 8: Music Magnate $6-$7.50-$8, English $6 unchanged after a bet of $1,000 e/w at $6/$2.25, Supido $13-$9.50-$8 with a bet of $650 at $13, Russian Revolution $6-$5.50-$5 with bets of $417 at $6, $200 e/w at $6/$2.25 twice.

Race 9: Alegria $5.50-$5, Gabella $26-$21.

Boo Bailey's Golden Slipper tip.Source:Supplied

EARLY QUADDIE

Race 2: 1, 3, 6, 8

Race 3: 1, 4

Race 4: 1, 5, 7

Race 5: 8

Suggested bet $20

Bet percentage: 83.33%

QUADDIE

Race 6: 1, 4, 8

Race 7: 12, 13, 15

Race 8: 2, 3, 6, 12

Race 9: 2, 7

Suggested bet: $20

Bet percentage: 20.83%

PRICE CHECK

Is Hartnell (race four) worth backing at $1.90? The Godolphin hulk would have been much shorter but for his inexplicable flop behind Winx in the Chipping Norton Stakes last start. This was his only poor run in a stellar season that has included runaway wins in the Turnbull Stakes and Chelmsford Stakes, and placings in the Cox Plate and Melbourne Cup. His current odds make for a good bet in the Ranvet Stakes if you can forgive him that last start flop.

TRIAL POINTERS

Raiment (race two) is a Street Cry filly from the Godolphin string that hasn’t put a hoof wrong in her half dozen starts to date. She has an awesome CV which includes a win over Foxplay and a nose second to In Her Time with pundits evenly split as to who should have won that particular day. Whatever the case, there is no doubt that Raiment is flying ahead of her autumn return, she was doing good things late when runner-up to Galaxy contender Russian Revolution in a Randwick heat on March 7.

Tactical Advantage (race three) is going for five straight wins, all of them at this current campaign. Many would argue that the best of the sequence so far was his most recent win here at Rosehill and it would be hard to deny. James Cummings is a master of using trials in between runs and it is a practise that has worked with this exciting Gooree galloper. The son of Bel Esprit barely raised a sweat winning his 807m heat at Warwick Farm on March 9 topping him off for this assignment.

Raiment has shown plenty of promise in the early stages of her career.Source:News Corp Australia

WORK WHISPERS

Inference (race six) deserved all the praise that came his way after that dramatic last to first win in the Randwick Guineas. We know from that he can handle the heaviest tracks possible and the step to 2000m is ideal for a horse that could well go on and claim the Triple Crown. The son of the mighty So You Think has thrived since his epic win at HQ, he worked on Tuesday over 1000m in 1:07.67s, last 600m in 38.01 coming home the last 200m in a sizzling 11.21s.

Tulip (race seven) won herself many fans with that comprehensive win in the Magic Night last weekend in what was a compelling Golden Slipper trial. The Victorian filly is aiming to give her Triple Crown winning sire Pierro a Golden Slipper winner from his first rcop. Tulip rounded out her preparations for today’s big one with a 600m gallop at Randwick on Thursday working alongside her unbeaten stablemate Catchy in an unhurried 43.73s on the soggy course proper.

THE BEST BET

Kinema (race one) was caught on the wrong part of the track near the inside rail coming into the straight at Randwick two weeks ago and could not get wide enough when fifth to Astronomos. The winner was far too good in the conditions but Kinema held his own in the run to the line to finish just behind the minor placegetters. Tough stayer been improved by two runs from a spell, he is at very backable odds and is out to his right distance range.

EACH WAY

Trekking (race seven) won his debut race with ease back in December and has had only one start since, running on hard late for second to Trapeze Artist in the Black Opal Stakes. He has had an unorthodox Golden Slipper preparation but he is a colt with enormous potential. At $35, he is well worth a gamble in a very open Golden Slipper.

ROSEHILL GARDENS

RACE 5: GEORGE RYDER STAKES (1500m)

Kris Lees (trainer) Le Romain: “Winx is a great mare but you can only worry about your own horse. Le Romain has come on the right way since his last-start win, he is ready for the 1500m and he loves heavy tracks. Le Romain is a fighter, my word he is. I don’t think he has ever been beaten in a photo.’’

Chris Waller (trainer) Winx: “The challenge will come one day and I’m sure she’ll be in for the fight when it does come. It could very well be in the Ryder. It’s bringing together a lot of in-form horses and great to see. We are certainly not running away from any challengers — we never have and never will. It’s good to see so many headline horses in there.’’

Glenn Munsie (TAB): “It’s like booing Santa Claus to even suggest Winx is vulnerable but this is her stiffest test so far this time in. The addition of proven Group 1 performers Chautauqua, Le Romain and to a lesser extent Hauraki gives this race more depth than her first two runs. Surely Leebaz rolls along with Le Romain camped on him and proving hard to get passed. Chautauqua charging home to try and run her down. I have Winx on top but closer to $1.40 than $1.15. Chautauqua and Le Romain dangers.’’

Grant Palmer (bookie): “This will be win number 16 in a row for the champion mare, Winx. The most intriguing betting has been for the minor placings with Chautauqua having his first go at 1500m while both Hauraki and Le Romain have been well supported.’’

Blake Johnston (bookie): “Winx looks like she will make it career win number 20 with her 16th consecutive wins in the George Ryder Stakes. She will win but Le Romain looks the exacta horse if you want to have a bet.’’

Terry Kennedy (Sky Sports Radio): “Winx notches up 16 straight wins — simple!”

Verdict: WINX

RACE 6: ROSEHILL GUINEAS (2000m)

James Cummings (trainer) Prized Icon: “Prized Icon has a lovely way about him and can impose himself on a race. But can he get as mobile on a heavy 10, I don’t know? It makes it that much harder as they come off the bridle sooner. The jury is out but he does handle the Randwick soft so perhaps that will help him get through the Rosehill heavy.’’

Bjorn Baker (trainer) Impavido: “He got blocked in the straight and didn’t have the most of luck but it was an excellent run last start. Hopefully he can come through well and we can go to the Derby (at Randwick on April 1) with some confidence. It’s a strong field but after his last run he definitely deserves a shot.”

Glenn Munsie (TAB): “I’m very keen on the chances of Impavido especially at the $8.50 currently on offer. He was entitled to have finished closer in the Randwick Guineas behind Inference and Comin’ Through after getting chopped out at the 250m. He managed to pick himself up to be beaten just under three lengths. Nothing was stronger than him on the line. His best two runs are on slow and heavy tracks. Inference can only improve on his Guineas win as that was his second this time in. Watch out for the Kiwi Gingernuts.’’

Prized Icon is among the main chances in the Rosehill Guineas.Source:Getty Images

Grant Palmer (bookie): “Inference won the Randwick Guineas last start but the run of Impavido was just as impressive. At the current price, he looks the better value of the two and this High Chaparral gelding looks well suited at 2000m.’’

Blake Johnston (bookie): “Anaheim represents the value in the race after attacking the line in the Australian Guineas. He will eat up 2000m and has the right man in the saddle.’’

Terry Kennedy (Sky Sports Radio): “Inference is the best horse in the race, but beware the Kiwi raider, born with web hooves, Gingernuts. He has already won the NZ Derby and can make it four straight wins.

Verdict: IMPAVIDO

RACE 7: GOLDEN SLIPPER (1200m)

David Hayes (trainer) Catchy, Tulip, Formality, Madeenaty: “On the dry I was very confident about Catchy but on the wet I seriously don’t know. On dry ground she would have been our best chance, on wet ground I haven’t got a clue. The advantage might be that they have had an uninterrupted prep.’’

Gary Portelli (trainer) She Will Reign, Single Bullet: “I’m not disappointed with the barriers. It would be nice for Single Bullet (three) to take the short cuts from his draw. For She Will Reign (13), if she happens to be slow way she can slide across when she wants rather than have others dictating to her. She is always that little bit slow away so I’m happy for her to draw out a bit.’’

Glenn Munsie (TAB): “The most difficult Slipper I have seen because of the wet track and so many unknowns on it. Tulip impressed me last week with a strong last 300m after being a little wayward in middle stages. Improvement to come with experience this way and drawn centre of the field to get into best position. I just think the wet track will negate the pure speed runners in Houtzen and She Will Reign. Pariah, Frolic and Menari next picks.’’

Grant Palmer (bookie): “ Catchy, the undefeated filly who won the Blue Diamond last start draws a good gate and with a hot tempo expected from Houtzen I think she will be too good and finish over the top of them again.’’

Blake Johnston (bookie): “Formaility will get the perfect run just behind the speed and she wasn’t far behind Catchy in the Blue Diamond. She will improve on that effort and should be right in the finish.’’

Terry Kennedy (Sky Sports Radio): “The massive query is the wet track. I feel the Blue Diamond is the best form race here and there’s no reason why Catchy and Pariah won’t run the quinella again. Frolic and Diamond Tathagata the knockouts.’’

Verdict: CATCHY

Originally published as Inside mail: Big bets and market movers